By Mohammed Momoh, ABUJA
Nigeria
The Economic Community of West African States (Ecowas) is climbing down from the initial peak of military intervention in Niger, seeing instead a possibility of diplomatic solution.
Since July 26, Niger has been
in the eye of storm after the military toppled an elected President, earning
itself sanctions from Ecowas.
But on Thursday, Nigeria
President Bola Tinubu, also Ecowas Chair, signalled pursuit of diplomacy after
allowing a delegation of clerics to return to Niamey to talk with the junta.
These scholars had been there
last week after which they helped relay the junta’s side of the story,
including why they had initially rejected talks with Ecowas envoys.
And Abdulsalami Abubakar, a
special envoy of Ecowas on Niger's political impasse, announced Tuesday that a
diplomatic solution was within reach over the crisis that has gripped the
country.
Abubakar told reporters that
the discussion with the military junta had shown positive signs.
“I must say that our visit to
Niger has been very fruitful and that it has opened an avenue to start talking,
and hopefully, we will get somewhere,” said Abubakar after presenting a report
on the situation to President Tinubu.
Abubakar led a special Ecowas
delegation on a mission to address the socio-political impasse.
Ecowas has demanded that the
junta cede power to the ousted President Mohamed Bazoum. The bloc had readied
its standby force, warning of intervention.
The AU Peace and Security
Council endorsed Ecowas sanctions but rather than say the junta should return
power to Bazoum, it said he should be released and military return to the
barracks.
This has been interpreted to
mean readiness to hold dialogue with the junta, on a possible civilian
transition.
But Abubakar said the Ecowas
would continue to explore all options in resolving the impasse. In spite of the
bloc rejecting a three-year transitional plan by the junta led by Gen
Abdourahamane Tchiani, there is now little possibility of military
intervention.
This is because the African
Union this week asked for a study into the possible impact of a planned
military intervention before actual deployment.
Part of the reason is the
cultural connections between Niger and Nigeria, as well as existing tradition.
“We strongly urge President
Tinubu, as the present Ecowas Chairman, to painstakingly pursue dialogue and
diplomacy in resolving the crisis in the Republic of Niger and to exercise
restraint and avoid taking any action that could lead to war,” said Mr Falalu
Bello, National Chairman of Peoples Redemption Party (PRP).
“War would destabilise the
entire Sahelian region and could lead to the spread of violence and instability
to other countries in the West African subregion.”
The AU Peace and Security
Council endorsed Ecowas sanctions but rather than say the junta should return
power to Bazoum, the Council said he should be released and that the military
return to the barracks. This has been interpreted to mean readiness to hold
dialogue with the junta, on a possible civilian transition.
The Council said it “takes
note of the Ecowas’ decision to deploy Standby Force and requests the AU
Commission to undertake an assessment of the economic, social and security implications
of deploying a Standby Force in Niger and report back to Council.”
The AU, as tradition,
suspended Niger from its activities and asked the world to reject the junta.
The Council, chaired by
Burundi, had actually sat on August 14. Cameroon, Djibouti, Morocco, Namibia,
Nigeria, Congo-Brazzaville, The Gambia, Ghana, Senegal, South Africa, Tanzania,
Tunisia, Uganda and Zimbabwe are the other current members of the Council whose
membership is rotated every two years among members of the African Union.
The Council’s decision of its
168th meeting, however, showed the continental body was unwilling to work with
the junta led by Gen Abdourahamane Tchiani in any way.
But it also rejected any
“external interference by any actor or any country outside the Continent in the
peace and security affairs in Africa including engagements by private military
companies in the continent.”
Some Nigerians have outlined
the economic implications of engaging in military options to restore democracy
in Niger Republic.
Prof Andrew Oyakhire, an economist,
said that Nigeria stands to lose $1.3 billion in trade from the border closure
with Niger.
Dr Muda Yusuf, founder, Centre
for the Promotion of Private Enterprises (CPPE), said contemplation of military
intervention should take into account the wider social, economic, welfare and
security implications for the countries of the subregion and their citizens.
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