HARARE, Zimbabwe
As Zimbabwe gears for the polls, opposition members have been arrested, dozens of CCC events blocked and the party complains of being given little airtime on national television.
Zimbabweans will vote on
August 23 to elect the president, legislature, and municipal councils.
On July 15, about 50
Zimbabwean opposition supporters clad in yellow T-shirts were knocking on doors
and handing out election flyers in Harare.
The CCC activists were in Glen
View, a working-class suburb of the capital -- a tactic that they believed
would sidestep the ban on rallies.
But after residents came out
to greet the campaigners and started following a car fitted with loudspeakers
playing campaign jingles, the riot police arrived and told them to
disperse.
"We are not happy at all
because we want to distribute flyers, but we are being blocked by the police.
We want people to know their candidates and we want to be freed from this
suffering," Rosemary, an opposition supporter said.
"Right now, we do not
even have running water."
For the campaigners, the
intervention was one more sign of a strategy to wreck their chances of cracking
the 43-year grip on power by Zimbabwe's ruling party.
Zimbabwe is grappling with inflation, corruption, poverty and the effects of US and European sanctions.
But in a nation dominated
since independence by late Robert Mugabe's ZANU-PF, political commentators
don't expect the vote to be free and fair.
"I've never seen a
presidential candidate so desperate to win as Mnangagwa has been. It has to do
all with the fear that if one loses state power then what's your future. But I
doubt there will be free, fair, credible elections, I doubt already it's a two
out of ten, you know," political analyst Ibbo Mandaza said.
"Come election day, we
are in for another disputed election. Its history repeating itself,
sadly."
It will be "the facade of
an election," said Nic Cheeseman, a democracy expert at Britain's
University of Birmingham.
"The ruling party has
taken steps to control the vote from start to finish."
Twelve candidates have set
their sights on the presidency, but the competition is essentially a race
between two men a generation apart, President Emmerson Mnangagwa, 80, is
squaring off against Nelson Chamisa, 45, of the Citizens Coalition for Change
(CCC).
Parliament has passed laws
that critics say muffle civil society groups and curtail criticism of the
government.
"We are being
demoralised," the CCC's candidate for MP, Grandmore Hakata, said
despondently.
The mood was starkly different
the previous day in the eastern Harare township of Tafara, where gleeful ZANU-PF
supporters climbed aboard buses to head to an airport event.
"Our leader is the best.
We will go anywhere, any day, to campaign for him," said Given Mamike, 39.
The same day Mnangagwa
received a celebrity endorsement from US boxing great Floyd Mayweather who flew
to Zimbabwe at the invitation of a controversial gold dealer and ZANU-PF
candidate.
The upcoming race will be a
rerun of 2018, when Chamisa narrowly lost to Mnangagwa in a vote that he lashed
as a fraud.
The ballot was also stained by
a crackdown on protests two days after voting that claimed six lives.
Despite the many challenges he
faces this time around, Chamisa, a charismatic lawyer and pastor, hopes to surf
a wave of discontent at Zimbabwe's dire economic situation. a
Inflation in this
agriculturally rich country of 15 million people was 175.8 percent in June,
according to official figures, but some economists estimate it has topped more
than 1,000 percent.
Opinion polls are widely
varying in their predictions.
Afrobarometer this month gave
Mnangagwa an eight percent lead, but a poll by Elite Africa Research put
Chamisa about nine percentage points ahead.
The CCC is stronger in
disaffected urban areas while ZANU-PF is banking on a strong showing in its rural
strongholds, observers say.
Some fear a repeat of the 2018
violence, although, in his campaign messaging, Mnangagwa has insisted on calm.
"What we want is peace
and unity," the president, whose nickname is "The Crocodile" in
a tribute to his political skills, told a rally last week.
For Mnangagwa, cementing his
leadership will come not just through a convincing majority but also through a
large turnout, say commentators.
A Mnangagwa victory is about
sending a message to the international community and those challenging him
within his party "that he is in charge," said Brian Raftopoulos, a
Zimbabwean political researcher.
The target of western
sanctions over graft and rights abuses, Zimbabwe has long sought to climb out
of diplomatic isolation.
"I have never seen a
presidential candidate so desperate to win," said Harare-based political
analyst Ibbo Mandaza.
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