MOSCOW, Russia
A drone
attack that targeted Moscow on Tuesday exposed glaring breaches in its
air defenses and underlined the capital’s vulnerability as more Russian soil
comes under fire amid expectations of a Ukrainian counteroffensive.Russia investigators inspect the building after a Ukrainian drone damaged an apartment building in Moscow, Russia, Tuesday, May 30, 2023.
The attack, which lightly
damaged three apartment buildings, angered Russia’s hawks, who scathingly
criticized President Vladimir Putin and the military brass for failing to
protect the heart of Kremlin power more than 500 kilometers (310 miles) from
the front line.
Five of the eight drones that
took part in the raid were shot down, the Defense Ministry said, while three
others were jammed and forced to veer off course. Some Russian media and
bloggers alleged a larger number of drones were involved, but those claims
couldn’t be verified.
The attack followed a May
3 drone strike on the Kremlin that lightly damaged the roof of the
palace that includes one of Putin’s official residences. Other drones have
crashed near Moscow in what Russian authorities described as botched Ukrainian
attempts to attack the city and infrastructure facilities in the suburbs.
Last week, the
Russian border region of Belgorod was the target of one of the most
serious cross-border raids since the war began, with two far-right
pro-Ukrainian paramilitary groups claiming responsibility. Officials in the
southern Russian city of Krasnodar near annexed Crimea said two drones struck
there Friday, damaging residential buildings. The attacks also drew calls for
bolstering Russia’s borders.
Ukrainian authorities rejoiced
over Tuesday’s drone attack but customarily avoided a claim of responsibility,
a response similar to what they said after previous attacks on Russian
territory.
In a sarcastic tweet, Mykhailo
Podolyak, an adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said that
“even artificial intelligence is already smarter and more far-sighted than the
Russian military and political leadership.”
The Russian military pummeled
the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv and other cities with cruise missiles and
exploding drones for the past three nights, a significant spike in such attacks
that have been regularly launched since October. The Ukrainian military said it
shot down most of the missiles and remained coy about reporting damage from the
strikes.
Putin cast the attack on Moscow as a Ukrainian attempt to intimidate its residents. He said Moscow’s air defenses worked as expected, but admitted that protecting a huge city is a daunting task.
“It’s clear what needs to be
done to beef up air defenses, and we will do it,” he added.
Military watchers said the
drones used in the attack were relatively crude and cheap but could have a
range of up to 1,000 kilometers (over 620 miles). They predicted more could
follow.
Some of the drones seen flying
toward Moscow were the Ukrainian-made UJ-22s, capable of carrying explosives;
others spotted in the skies near Moscow were similarly small vehicles.
Mark Cancian, a senior adviser
with the Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security
Program, noted that part of the reason why drones could make it all the way to
Moscow undetected was because Russian air defenses are mostly focused on
fending off attacks by more sophisticated weapons.
“They are oriented on
missiles, ballistic missiles, regional missiles, aircraft, bombers, but not
short- range drones, you know, which might be flying very low over the ground,”
Cancian told The Associated Press. “The Russian air defense was just not
designed to do this.”
The Russian military will
likely move some of its air defense assets away from the front line to help
protect Moscow, Cancian said, a move that would weaken Russian troops in the
face of a Ukrainian counteroffensive.
“That’s good for the
Ukrainians in the sense that they’re pulling these systems away from other
areas where they could be used maybe from front-line units,” he said.
The Kremlin’s muted response
to the attack irked some hawkish commentators and military bloggers in Moscow,
who had criticized the Russian leadership for failing to mount a stronger
response.
Yevgeny
Prigozhin, the maverick millionaire head of the Wagner private military
contractor that plays a key role on the battlefield in Ukraine, scolded the
Russian military leadership and denounced them as “scum” and “swine” for
failing to protect Moscow.
“You, the Defense Ministry,
have done nothing to launch an offensive,” Prigozhin said in a statement
released by his office. “How dare you to allow the drones to reach Moscow?”
Ramzan Kadyrov, the strongman
leader of the Russian province of Chechnya who sent forces from the region to
fight in Ukraine, urged the Kremlin to declare martial law nationwide and use
all its resources in Ukraine “to sweep away that terrorist gang.”
Some Kremlin watchers noted
that Putin’s calm reaction that contrasted with angry statements from Russian
hawks reflects his belief that the public won’t be unsettled by the attack.
“Putin has talked repeatedly
about the Russian people’s remarkable patience and tenacity,” Tatiana Stanovaya
of the Carnegie Endowment said in a commentary. “No matter how defiant another
Ukrainian attack is, Putin doesn’t think that it could provoke public
discontent with the government.”
She noted that while playing
down the strikes makes the authorities look “embarrassed and helpless,” it fits
Putin’s course to drag out the conflict.
James Nixey, the director of
the Russia and Eurasia program at Chatham House, said Tuesday’s attack signaled
a growing Ukrainian determination to launch strikes deep inside Russia and
predicted more will come.
“This is not the first and
it’s not the last,” Nixey told AP. “The Ukrainians are in various respects
flexing their muscles, seeing what they’re capable of hitting back. It is one
more part of the Ukrainian play to ensure that they are not just playing
defense, but they can play some offense as well.”
Despite the loud calls for
revenge, the Russian military can’t do much more than what it has been doing
since starting the war, Nixey noted.
“The reality is that Russia
does have limits in what it can do. It’s got limits on manpower, limits on its
finances, limits on its artillery munitions, missiles, drones, everything,” he
said. “They’re already expending all their efforts, all their monies, all their
treasure, all their blood if you like on prosecuting their war in Ukraine.”
No comments:
Post a Comment