Liberal leader Justin Trudeau holds a rally in Vaughan,
Ontario, on Friday, Oct. 18, 2019
By David Ljunggren and Kelsey Johnson, OTTAWA Canada
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will
remain in power but with a minority government that will require the support of
a smaller left-leaning party, official results showed on Monday after a
hard-fought battle in which he was dogged by scandals.
The
Liberals had won or were leading in 156 out of 338 seats as of midnight EDT
(0400 GMT on Tuesday), according to Elections Canada. That put the Liberals far
short of the 170 seats needed for a second straight majority government.
Trudeau,
who took power in 2015 as a charismatic figure promising “sunny ways,” saw his
popularity drop over old photos of him in blackface and his handling of a
corporate corruption case. He will now have to rely on the New Democratic Party
(NDP) to push through key legislation.
Although
the NDP had a disappointing night, as the number of seats it was projected to
win was down sharply from the 2015 election, the party could exercise
significant influence over Trudeau’s next government.
“I
think a Liberal government supported by the (NDP) is likely going to lean
farther left,” said John Manley, a former Liberal finance minister who now
works in the private sector.
“It
raises a series of issues about what are the demands that an NDP party would
make. What’s the price of governing going to be? And I think businesses are
going to be reluctant to make any moves until they get some satisfaction around
that.”
Minority
governments in Canada rarely last more than 2-1/2 years.
Ahead
of the vote, polls showed a neck-and-neck race between Trudeau and his main
rival, Conservative leader Andrew Scheer. The Conservatives, who trailed on
Monday with 121 seats, actually held slightly more than a 1-percentage-point
lead in the popular vote over the Liberals.
Conservative leader Andrew Scheer poses for a photo with workers during a campaign stop in Brampton, Ontario |
Trudeau,
47, who has championed diversity as prime minister, was endorsed by former U.S.
President Barack Obama in the final stretch of the campaign and is viewed as
one of the last remaining progressive leaders among the world’s major
democracies.
But
the son of the late Liberal Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau also had to overcome
a sense of fatigue with his government.
The Bloc
Quebecois saw its support jump in the mainly French-speaking province of
Quebec, the only place where the separatist party contests elections. It was elected
or ahead in 32 seats, more than three times what the party won in 2015.
“The
Bloc Quebecois is surging in Quebec,” said Daniel BĂ©land, director of the
McGill Institute for the Study of Canada, who added that the election was a
“clear defeat” for Scheer and the Conservatives.
The
Greens, who have assailed Trudeau for not doing enough to combat climate
change, also made gains on Monday.
Liberal
Natural Resources Minister Amarjeet Sohi lost his seat in Alberta as did Public
Safety Minister Ralph Goodale in neighboring Saskatchewan. Anger at Trudeau has
mounted in those two provinces over federal environmental policies that the
energy industry says will harm output.
The
oil industry’s top lobbying group has blamed Trudeau’s policies for throttling
investment in the sector, and some global energy companies have shed assets in
the oil sands region of Alberta, the country’s main oil-producing province.
Canada’s
economy, however, has been on a general upswing in 2019. The Canadian dollar
has been the best-performing G10 currency this year, rising more than 4%
against its U.S. counterpart, as the economy added jobs at a robust pace and
inflation stayed closed to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.
The
six-week official campaign period was a rough and meandering ride with dirty
The
liberal image of Trudeau, whose father opened the country to mass immigration,
took a severe blow when pictures emerged early in the campaign of him wearing
blackface in the early 1990s and in 2001.
Trudeau
had already been wrestling with the fallout from accusations he pressured his
justice minister to help shield engineering firm SNC-Lavalin Group Inc from
corruption charges. In August, a top watchdog said Trudeau breached ethics
rules.
Scheer
also proved to be a determined opponent, although his hopes for a major
breakthrough were dashed.
Scheer,
40, promised to balance the federal budget and eliminate a “carbon tax” on
fossil fuels. He was running his first campaign as party leader after winning a
bitter leadership fight in 2017.
“The
Tories made a fundamental mistake by being opposed to the carbon tax,” said
Hugh Segal, who was chief of staff to former Conservative Prime Minister Brian
Mulroney.
“I’ve
often heard it said the worst mistake a party can make is to get sucked into
its own low expectations of the population,” he said. - Reuters
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